Well, what we found out today is that the Big Fish won't be playing in the small pond. It hurts to have existing hardware and a working rocket. It sure pays to be a FOM ("friend of Mike"). And we also found out, as expected, what a sham COTS is after all.
Yet another rocket that will miraculously jump off the paper at Wallops to save the day in 2010. Just what this country needs. NOT. And its a replacement rocket for the Delta II that the government has said it can no longer afford. No proposal for crew carrying capabilities. A foreign provided pressurized carrier. Use of DART mission capabilities for prox ops at ISS. Alan, dear friend, did you not read the DART failure reports your very own S&MA groups produced??
While our predictions for COTS have not been very accurate so far, primarily because we believed, no, hoped, a real effort to obtain services commercially would be undertaken with the program. Nevertheless, we'll make another prediction now. You won't be hearing about COTS much come this time two years from now.